Roger Wohlner is among the most well-known of financialbloggers, having been recognized as a “top blogger” by severalmedia outlets, including The Wall Street Journal.
|While his primary audience may be the retail investor, you cancount professionals among his readers, too. And with goodreason.
|As you might expect from someone who straddles the line betweenwriting and serving as a financial professional, Roger can providevaluable industry insights in a way mere journalists cannot.
|If you’re interested in discovering some of his wisdom yourself,take a look at my interview with him (“Exclusive Interview with Roger Wohlner,”FiduciaryNews.com, January 19, 2016).
|In that interview, Roger offered a very intriguing idea when itcomes to target-date funds.
|He suggested that while there might be justification for youngerretirement savers to use a generic target-date investmentphilosophy, as an investor ages a target-risk investment philosophymakes more sense.
|Let’s explore why this approach appeals to the intuitivesense.
|First let’s tackle the state of mind of younger retirementsavers. Often, they aren’t even aware of the importance of savingfor their retirement.
|It’s not because they’re dull, it’s mostly because there are alot of competing priorities and not a lot of money to go aroundaddressing those priorities. Early on, there are student loans.
||Then, in some seemingly more random order, there’s a homemortgage, the costs of getting married, and the costs of raising afamily.
|With budgets tight, there’s no need for the young retirementsaver to get too fancy when it comes to investing their retirementsavings.
|For all the problems associated with target-date funds, thosewith target dates forty to fifty years in the future should all benearly fully invested in equities.
|Setting aside what kinds of equities they invest in, theimportant thing is that they’re nearly fully invested in equities.End of story.
|So, TDFs do have merit for these younger investors. At thispoint in their lives, a “one-size-fits-all” “set-it-and-forget”approach fits neatly within the mesh of all their other financialpriorities.
|Things begin to get a little bit more complicated as oneages.
|With a decade or two of adulthood under their belts,not-so-young people tend to have accrued enough varied financialexperience that it becomes apparent one size no longer fits all.Two big savings goals consume most of their thinking: retirementand college.
|This doesn’t mean they can ignore short-term cash flow needs. Inbrief, life gets a lot harder.
|As life gets harder, as peoples’ situations branch off along aspectrum ranging from “well-to-do” to “scraping-by,” it no longerremains valid to accept a generic date-based investment philosophy.These middle-aged folks find themselves and their financial needstransitioning to a risk-based strategy.
|In other words, your date of birth matters less than the presentvalue of your net assets and the future value of your current cashflow.
|You can easily imagine where two different fifty year-olds withtwo different financial charts. One, who is relatively wealth andwell prepared, needn’t take undue risk. The other, who isrelatively poor and less prepared, has a return required thatdemand more risk.
|Same age, different portfolio.
|A target-date fund is simply a non-starter in this situation. Infact, it’s not in the best interests of these two investors to evenoffer them something labeled as a “target-date” fund.
|Such an offer falsely implies only their age--not their personalfinancial situation--is all they need to know when selecting an“appropriate” investment for their retirement savings.
|Notice how I snuck the phrase “best interests” in there. That’sright; the use of target-date funds may soon become an importantfiduciary issue.
|When that occurs, you can expect we will begin to see a “civilwar” of sorts between these two competing investmentphilosophies.
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